School Seminars and Colloquia

A new general approach to Bayesian model comparisons

Colloquium

by Murray Aitkin


Institution: University of Melbourne
Date: Tue 8th November 2011
Time: 12:00 PM
Location: Richard Berry Building - Russel Love Theatre

Abstract: This talk gives a brief statement of the general approach through posterior likelihoods, set out in detail in my 2010 book Statistical Inference: an Integrated Bayesian/Likelihood Approach (Chapman and Hall/CRC Press).

The idea is illustrated by a very simple example of a court case involving a possibly increased risk of encephalitis following MMR vaccination.

A complex example of mixture modelling of the recession velocities of galaxies illustrates the idea of stochastic ordering of likelihood or deviance distributions, and resolves the confusing inconsistencies of previous Bayesian analyses.

For More Information: contact Guoqi Qian, g.qian@ms.unimelb.edu.au

Colloquium Website